2019 Midseason Draft Report

Nov 02, 2019

It’s the halfway mark of the 2019 season and now is a good time to take a look at how players are performing compared to my pre-draft rankings. Many of my rankings are really close to the actual place the players were taken in the draft (Bosa, Allen, Bush, Murray, Hockenson, Bradbury, Winovich). While there were a handful players that I had much lower on my list, that I would’ve missed on (Daniel Jones, Terry McLaurin. Elgton Jenkins, Darnell Savage, Maxx Crosby, Cole Holcomb, Quincy Williams), we see even more of the top players that I had much higher on my list than their respective draft positions.

If I was GM of your team, and you were in need of a quarterback (starter or a backup to groom), you would have landed Gardner Minshew on your team easily, as I had a 3rd round grade on him and he wasn’t drafted until the 6th round. Minshew has been taking the league by storm and looks to be the QB that will lead the Jaguars for the next decade or more. I’m really not sure how he fell to the 6th round, but he would not have made it that far if I was drafting.

If I was your GM, you would have the electric franchise running back Josh Jacobs on your team in the first round instead of guys like Jonah Williams, Rashan Gary, Chris Lindstrom, etc. For whatever reason, running back value has been watered down in recent drafts. Teams believe you can get solid running backs in the middle rounds and running backs get used and abused with a short shelf life in the NFL. However, my thinking is that if you can land an elite running back and you know he’ll be a star for the next 5 years or more, why not spend a higher pick on him and lock him up? Makes much more sense than taking unproven developmental talent like Rashan Gary or Tytus Howard.

DK Metcalf is still a work in progress, however he has broken out recently and just caught two touchdown passes from Russell Wilson this past weekend. He was selected at 64 as the last pick in the second round. With my overall ranking of 22, I would’ve taken him in the late first or early second round for your team, instead of taking guys like L.J. Collier, Deandre Baker, Kaleb McGary, etc. Metcalf has shown that he can make big plays with his huge frame and elite speed and he should be a playmaker for the Seahawks for the long term.

AJ Brown is another player that I had much higher on my board than his actual draft position. AJ Brown was my top receiver in the draft, and unfortunately, he got taken by one of the worst offenses in the league with the Titans. The Titans offensive line and QB situation is awful, which means a bad quarterback has no time to throw the ball to the talented AJ Brown. This has resulted in minimal opportunity for Brown, however he has made the most of the balls thrown his way and looked amazing so far. If the Titans can draft some offensive linemen and a quarterback, and get a good offensive coaching staff in Tennessee, then AJ Brown should blossom.

Overall, my rankings have looked great at the midseason point. It takes at least 2-3 full seasons to fully evaluate the success of your picks though, so we will continue to watch and see what we hit on and what we missed on over the next couple of seasons.

Player My Pre-Draft Ranking Drafted Position
Nick Bosa22
Gardner Minshew93178
Josh Allen37
Josh Jacobs624
Devin Bush1210
Kyler Murray41
Daniel Jones 486
Brian Burns1916
Terry McLaurin10976
Elgton Jenkins7744
Darnell Savage6421
DK Metcalf2264
Dexter Lawrence2517
Dalton Risner941
AJ Brown1651
Miles Sanders 2653
TJ Hockenson78
Mecole Hardman-56
Erik McCoy3448
Garrett Bradbury1818
Marquise Brown1725
Chase Winovich7577
Maxx Crosby-106
Cole Holcomb-173
Quincy Williams-98

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000001071592/article/nfl-rookie-rankings-nick-bosa-leads-top-25-at-midseason-mark?campaign=fb-nf-sf222656212-sf222656212&sf222656212=1